Bush U turn on climate change
[I have just posted this on my Myspace blog as well, but i thought I would put it here as well... ]
According to my news paper G W Bush and his oil baron friends are getting ready for a U turn on climate change…. So its like, well you know we heard all this evidence that we might be bringing about the end of the world as we know it… but we weren't 100% sure; so we thought we would wait as long as possible before we react to the issue.. well seeing as we are making a lot of money in the time being…
Well thanks guys and welcome to the party, we were wondering if you were going to come at all.
So now before we all starting chucking our hats into the air in celebration, I am still a bit suspicious that what they have in mind is still well off what is actually going to happen. Don't hold your breath for GW to come up with an answer.
Here is the nub… with population and development both running rampage as it were, whatever we do we are still going to carry on a lot of CO2 into the atmosphere… even slowing down the rate of increase in emissions is going to be hard .. let alone rolling them back. Now get this, if we listen to the climate scientists then they are talking about an eventual reduction of 90%. Or something like a 7% reduction in emissions every year for the next 30 - 40 years.
That really is a big change. So how do we do it?
Well here's the theory, with renewables then energy becomes is unlimited, potentially nearly free, but, it occurs in a not very dense form. Its diffused throughout the environment. So what we must aim for is to develop lifestyles and technologies that are in them selves hugely more resource efficient, and powered by extremely small amounts of energy. With technology and a radical rethink on the nature of consumerism, (i.e converting it into re-cyclism) then we can do that, and have sophisticated lifestyles… but and this is a big but, the problem is how do we get there from here. We have expanding aspirational economies in the largest and least developed nations, Ie China, India and Brazil, and the only thing that will feed and cloth those populations and give them the security to stop needing to have large families, for their economies to stabilise, is economic growth and that is going to hit us all right where it hurts.
Wealthier developed Northern nations now have the resources, money and know how to rapidly transform into Eco- economies, with plenty of wealth, stable populations and squeaky clean eco technologies. We have the possibility of achieving far higher standards of living by chucking out our gas guzzling flagrant lifestyles of the last century. However, how do we get those emerging nations over the peak of destructive environmentally damaging phase of growth and into the post industrial age. Its going to be a challenge for the western nations to do it, but for the rest? Well that is exactly the point.
Total global environmental damage is going to look like a parabola, a up and down line on a graph with a definite peak. The sooner we can reach that peak and get over the other side the better, left unchecked we already know that the a climate change meltdown scenario is inevitable…. Our actions right now are what is going to determine the trajectory of that line.
We are certainly going to witness a huge amount of environmental turbulence in these coming years, we may see mass extinctions and mass migrations of people as land is swallowed up, but we do get to determine how bad it gets in the long run. What we decide now is what is going to make the real difference in the long term. Its about degrees of badness… the longer we ignore it the worse it gets..
We don't need any more evidence we don't need anyone's permission, we have to begin right now, if we haven't. There is no need to wait for politicians to make their minds up… we simply need to start behaving differently, everything else will follow.
This is the bit that makes me irate really, is there sheer amount of time our politicians have wasted doing precious little or even actually nothing for so long while the evidence has rolled in. we need people with imagination and leadership, not bunch of spineless idiots who hide behind a smokescreen of media tricks.
Its all good entertainment really I guess, I also guess we are going to see a lot of humble pie eating.. its been the smoking debate, Apartheid south Africa, all over again.. when the evidence, weight of opinion and sheer will just over comes the status quo. - and its last defenders are left looking really, really stupid.
Right now we need a Tsunami of opinion, of action and intention from everyone and we can really tip the scales in our favour. We have to make the change, quit oil, for all that entails as soon as possible, that's it… well that's actually just the beginning, but it's the first decision that needs to be made, say it loud and say it now! Quit Oil!
(just buy more local food, avoid over packaged items, compost if you can, don't waste stuff, insulate your house loads more.. its easy, you know it, but you have to be active about doing it... )
Well since writing this scientists are now revealing that there has been significant jump in atmospheric CO2 this year - main possible reason being that the earth's ability to absorb CO2 (about 50% of we produce is reabsorbed by planet earth) is already starting to be compromised by the higher temperatures.
The clock is ticking and everyday we carry on as normal is a wasted opportunity to respond this accelerating crisis meaningfully.
Meanwhile life goes on all around you….